Weekly Market Outlook (September 22 – 26, 2025)

 


1. Forex – U.S. Dollar and Major Currencies

  • U.S. Dollar Index (DXY): The dollar faced strong resistance around 97.70, struggling to break above it decisively.

  • It managed to defend the 96.60 support level, keeping the key resistance zone near 97.70 in focus.

  • EUR/USD: Encountered resistance near 1.1800, while the main support stood at 1.1730.
    Some weekly forecasts suggested potential upside toward 1.1875 if bullish momentum persists.

  • GBP/USD: Faced a correction after resistance near 1.3540; a break below 1.3480 could trigger renewed selling pressure.

  • The dollar gained short-term momentum following Federal Reserve comments and geopolitical tensions, which added volatility to the currency market.


2. Gold (XAU/USD)

  • Gold extended its rally, posting another strong weekly gain, reaching around $3,680 per ounce.

  • Key support was seen near $3,600, while resistance remained around $3,700.

  • A possible correction might retest support at $3,535, before resuming higher if momentum continues.

  • Overall, the trend remains bullish, as gold continues to act as a safe-haven asset amid market uncertainty.


3. Oil (Brent / WTI)

  • Oil recorded its largest weekly gain in three months, supported by Russian export restrictions.

  • Brent crude climbed to around $69.55, while WTI surged to $65.20, marking a gain of over 4%.

  • Key drivers: Drone strikes on Russian infrastructure, Russia’s announcement to limit diesel and gasoline exports, and a surprise drop in U.S. crude inventories.

  • Despite strong gains, oil remains vulnerable to fluctuations due to global demand concerns and slowing growth in some regions.


4. Overall Market Analysis

  • The U.S. dollar showed renewed strength, supported by Fed statements.

  • Major currencies faced strong resistance levels, leading to mixed performance.

  • Gold continued to outperform as a risk-hedging asset.

  • Oil outshone most commodities amid supply shocks and geopolitical risks.

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